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What is Success Rate? Consistency Explained

Success Rate measures how consistently an offense or player produces efficient plays. It helps separate stable production from performance driven primarily by occasional explosive plays.

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Success Rate Leaders

PlayMaker Success Rate leaderboards generated from nflverse play-by-play data.

PlayMaker Data

Success Rate Leaders

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Team Success Rate Leaders

NFL offenses ranked by Success Rate across qualifying offensive plays.

Rank Team Success Rate Successful Plays Total Plays
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Passing Success Rate Leaders

NFL offenses ranked by consistency on qualifying passing plays.

Rank Team Success Rate Successful Plays Total Plays
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Rushing Success Rate Leaders

NFL offenses ranked by consistency on qualifying rushing plays.

Rank Team Success Rate Successful Plays Total Plays
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Quarterback Success Rate Leaders

Quarterbacks ranked by the consistency of their qualifying passing plays.

Rank Quarterback Team Success Rate Successful Plays Total Plays
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Success Rate Definition

Understanding consistency over volatility.

Definition

Success Rate measures the percentage of qualifying plays that meet the expected efficiency threshold for the situation.

Unlike raw yardage, Success Rate focuses on how consistently an offense creates useful outcomes across individual plays.

Why Success Rate Matters for Props

Consistency is often more important than isolated explosive games.

01

Stability Indicator

High Success Rate can indicate a more consistent offensive baseline instead of production dependent on isolated big plays.

02

Volatility Context

Success Rate helps distinguish steady production from performance driven primarily by explosive plays.

03

Drive Sustainability

Efficient plays can help offenses maintain possession and sustain drives.

04

Prop Signal

Success Rate provides another consistency layer when evaluating player and team prop environments.

Real NFL Example

Why consistency matters beyond highlight plays.

Example

Player with a 65% Success Rate vs. Player with a 45% Success Rate

The higher Success Rate player has produced efficient outcomes on a greater percentage of qualifying plays, providing useful context when evaluating baseline consistency.

How PlayMaker Uses Success Rate

Success Rate provides an additional consistency layer across PlayMaker's research models.

01

Baseline Stability

Helps establish whether production is supported by repeatable efficient plays.

02

Variance Control

Adds context when recent production has been influenced by unusually large plays.

03

Matchup Adjustment

Helps evaluate whether offensive efficiency is likely to hold against a particular defensive environment.

04

Prop Confidence Layer

Provides another signal when evaluating the stability of an expected prop outcome.

How Success Rate Connects in PlayMaker

Success Rate works alongside other efficiency and matchup metrics.

EPA

Success Rate measures consistency while EPA measures expected-points value generated by plays.

View EPA →

Player Intelligence

Use player trends and historical production to put consistency metrics into individual-player context.

View Players →

Defensive Matchups

Offensive consistency can change depending on the quality and style of the opposing defense.

View Matchups →

PlayMaker Academy

Learn how PlayMaker combines consistency, efficiency, matchup context, and player trends.

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Top Players for Reference

Click to view individual player pages and related prop analytics.

JA

Josh Allen

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CL

CeeDee Lamb

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CM

Christian McCaffrey

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Now apply it

See how Success Rate connects with player trends, matchups, EPA, and PlayMaker projections.

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